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COINMAG Digest · October 30Quantum computer may break Bitcoin in 62 minutesRead the issue 2d
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TrendingBitcoin volatility spikes briefly after Fed events but normalizes within hours, study showsBitcoinSolana Staking Rewards Hide Validator Commission Data After Custom Collector UpdateAltcoinsBinance hack sees $296 million XRP drained from five wallets in four minutesRegulationBitcoin Holds Near $77,000 Amid Rising Derivatives Exposure and ETF OutflowsBitcoinPeter Schiff Links Gold Sell‑Off to Potential Market Liquidity CrunchRegulationBanks Face $349 Billion Exposure to U.S. Private Credit FundsRegulationBinance Hack Spurs Kim Jong Un Memes and Raises Questions About North Korea’s Crypto GainsRegulationBitcoin White Paper Turns 18, Raising Long‑Term Security QuestionsRegulation

Predictions

Live probabilities from Polymarket on crypto, the economy, politics and more. Each price is what traders pay for an outcome, so 63¢ means a 63% chance.

CryptoBitcoinEthereumEconomyPoliticsAIGeopoliticsSportsCultureAll

Fed Decision in December?

  • 25 bps increase71%
  • No change28%
  • 50+ bps increase2%
  • +2 more
$10.2M volume · Ends Dec 10, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

12%chance
$16.1M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Largest Company end of December 2026?

  • NVIDIA54%
  • Apple44%
  • Alphabet<1%
  • +5 more
$9.4M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

  • 0 (0 bps)97%
  • 1 (25 bps)1%
  • 2 (50 bps)<1%
  • +10 more
$55.2M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

  • 4.90%65%
  • 5.00%48%
  • 5.05%37%
  • +3 more
$242K volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. polymarket.com

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

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USD x Iranian rials End of October?

  • 2.7-2.8M97%
  • 2.6-2.7M2%
  • 2.8M+<1%
  • +4 more
$148K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

  • No change90%
  • 25 bps decrease10%
  • 50+ bps decrease<1%
  • +2 more
$176K volume · Ends Nov 5, 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

  • No Change62%
  • 25 bps increase38%
  • 25 bps decrease<1%
  • +2 more
$193K volume · Ends Dec 9, 2026

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

  • 25 bps increase94%
  • No change6%
  • 50+ bps increase<1%
  • +2 more
$273K volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

What will the median home value in Miami be on December 31?

  • $830K - $851K53%
  • $809K - $830K23%
  • $788K - $809K5%
  • +4 more
$33K volume · Ends Jan 11, 2027

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

  • 1.0-2.0%68%
  • 0-1.0%29%
  • <0%<1%
  • +6 more
$80K volume · Ends Feb 1, 2027

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?

  • <$503K70%
  • $503K - $507K12%
  • $511K - $515K8%
  • +4 more
$38K volume · Ends Jan 11, 2027

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

  • Below 4.70%95%
  • Below 4.65%82%
  • Below 4.60%65%
  • +10 more
$413K volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

  • 3.0%+45%
  • 2.7% to 2.9%41%
  • 2.4% to 2.6%9%
  • +4 more
$76K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bank of England Decision in March?

  • No Change59%
  • 25 bps increase22%
  • 25 bps decrease14%
  • +2 more
$11K volume · Ends Mar 18, 2027

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

  • Below 5.25%80%
  • Below 5.20%64%
  • Below 5.15%49%
  • +7 more
$260K volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Core CPI YoY - October 2026

  • ≤2.2%<1%
  • 2.3%<1%
  • 2.4%2%
  • +7 more
$29K volume · Ends Nov 11, 2026

What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?

  • <$445K59%
  • $445K - $458K30%
  • $484K - $497K3%
  • +4 more
$38K volume · Ends Jan 11, 2027

Bank of England decision in November?

  • 25 bps increase97%
  • No change1%
  • 25 bps decrease<1%
  • +2 more
$449K volume · Ends Nov 5, 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

71%chance
$1.3M volume · Ends Dec 10, 2026

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?

  • 25 bps decrease40%
  • 25 bps increase34%
  • No Change32%
  • +2 more
$8K volume · Ends Mar 17, 2027

Reserve Bank of India decision in December

  • 25 bps increase72%
  • No Change14%
  • 50+ bps increase13%
  • +2 more
$29K volume · Ends Dec 4, 2026

Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

  • No Change62%
  • 25 bps increase25%
  • 50+ bps decrease6%
  • +2 more
$7K volume · Ends Mar 18, 2027

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

  • 5.0%4%
  • 5.5%2%
  • 6.0%<1%
  • +2 more
$594K volume · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

  • 0.0%–0.8%30%
  • 0.8%–1.6%23%
  • -1.6%– -0.8%15%
  • +7 more
$57K volume · Ends Nov 17, 2026

October Inflation China - Annual

  • 0.7% to 0.8%66%
  • 0.9% to 1.0%17%
  • ≤0.6%10%
  • +2 more
$44K volume · Ends Nov 9, 2026

Bank of Japan Decision in January?

  • No Change67%
  • 25 bps increase28%
  • 50+ bps increase3%
  • +2 more
$10K volume · Ends Jan 22, 2027

What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?

  • <$1.115M58%
  • $1.115M - $1.126M20%
  • $1.126M - $1.137M6%
  • +4 more
$41K volume · Ends Jan 11, 2027

Gas prices on November 1?

  • $4.1700-4.1799>99%
  • $4.1600-4.1699<1%
  • $4.1900-4.1999<1%
  • +3 more
$4K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

  • $318K - $323K47%
  • $313K - $318K38%
  • $327K+12%
  • +4 more
$35K volume · Ends Jan 11, 2027

How many jobs added in October?

  • 100k+32%
  • 25k to 50k14%
  • 75k to 100k13%
  • +4 more
$32K volume · Ends Nov 7, 2026

What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?

  • $403K - $407K46%
  • $407K - $411K41%
  • <$403K5%
  • +4 more
$43K volume · Ends Jan 11, 2027

ISM Services PMI - October 2026

  • 53.0 to 53.926%
  • 55.0 to 55.923%
  • 56.0 to 56.920%
  • +7 more
$31K volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026

  • 46.0 to 48.959%
  • 49.0 to 51.929%
  • 43.0 to 45.913%
  • +4 more
$26K volume · Ends Nov 20, 2026

US GDP growth in Q4 2026?

  • ≥4.0%23%
  • 2.5% to 3.0%21%
  • 3.5% to 4.0%18%
  • +4 more
$10K volume · Ends Jan 29, 2027

Bank of Canada Decision in January?

  • No Change52%
  • 25 bps increase40%
  • 25 bps decrease6%
  • +2 more
$5K volume · Ends Jan 27, 2027

ECB Interest Rates: March 2027

  • 25 bps increase46%
  • No Change45%
  • 50+ bps increase5%
  • +2 more
$5K volume · Ends Mar 18, 2027

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

  • Microsoft68%
  • Alphabet17%
  • NVIDIA5%
  • +6 more
$144K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US recession by end of 2026?

6%chance
$2.4M volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

  • 2.5 - 3.0M28%
  • 3.0 - 3.5M22%
  • 3.5 - 4.0M20%
  • +3 more
$144K volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in March?

  • No Change48%
  • 25 bps increase43%
  • 50+ bps decrease7%
  • +2 more
$4K volume · Ends Mar 23, 2027

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

  • 0.6–0.7%39%
  • 0.8–0.9%35%
  • 0.4–0.5%17%
  • +4 more
$54K volume · Ends Nov 13, 2026

Fed Decision in January?

  • No change72%
  • 25 bps increase25%
  • 25 bps decrease2%
  • +2 more
$1.1M volume · Ends Jan 28, 2027

Fed Decision in March?

  • 25 bps increase47%
  • No change46%
  • 25 bps decrease5%
  • +2 more
$61K volume · Ends Mar 18, 2027

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

  • ↓ 5.50%2%
  • ↓ 5.70%4%
  • ↓ 5.90%3%
  • +8 more
$116K volume · Ends Jan 15, 2027

Bank of Israel Decision in November?

  • No Change62%
  • 25 bps decrease23%
  • 25 bps increase10%
  • +2 more
$3K volume · Ends Nov 23, 2026

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February?

  • 25 bps increase57%
  • No Change38%
  • 25 bps decrease4%
  • +2 more
$11K volume · Ends Feb 10, 2027

Central Bank of Colombia decision in December

  • No change58%
  • 25 bps increase27%
  • 50+ bps decrease7%
  • +2 more
$32K volume · Ends Dec 18, 2026