Banks Face $349 Billion Exposure to U.S. Private Credit Funds
U.S. banks lent $349 billion to private credit vehicles at the end of 2025, a risk amplified by growing use of payment‑in‑kind interest that delays cash collection.
CCOINMAG
8660
No Change: 66% chance+11 pp · 24h
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 22, 2027
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the January 2027 meeting of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its January 2027 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled to conclude on January 22, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board resulting from its January 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolution source: boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm
U.S. banks lent $349 billion to private credit vehicles at the end of 2025, a risk amplified by growing use of payment‑in‑kind interest that delays cash collection.
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It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
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