Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Probability, last 30 days17% → 16%
100%50%0%
Volume
$1.3B
24h volume
$2.6M
Liquidity
$71.7M
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 8, 2028
Outcomes
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Gavin Newsom16%
Jon Ossoff15%
Kamala Harris6%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Josh Shapiro5%
Andy Beshear4%
James Talarico3%
Wes Moore2%
Raphael Warnock2%
Mark Kelly2%
Ro Khanna2%
Rahm Emanuel2%
J.B. Pritzker2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
Bernie Sanders1%
Chelsea Clinton1%
Cory Booker<1%
Gretchen Whitmer<1%
Michelle Obama<1%
Jon Stewart<1%
Ruben Gallego<1%
Chris Murphy<1%
Hillary Clinton<1%
Mark Cuban<1%
Gina Raimondo<1%
Roy Cooper<1%
Barack Obama<1%
Hunter Biden<1%
Jasmine Crockett<1%
Chris Van Hollen<1%
Stephen A. Smith<1%
Zohran Mamdani<1%
Jared Polis<1%
Phil Murphy<1%
Abigail Spanberger<1%
Hakeem Jeffries<1%
Elissa Slotkin<1%
Josh Stein<1%
Mitch Landrieu<1%
LeBron James<1%
Tim Walz<1%
John Fetterman<1%
Liz Cheney<1%
George Clooney<1%
MrBeast<1%
Oprah Winfrey<1%
Andrew Yang<1%
Beto O’Rourke<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Graham Platner<1%
Adam Schiff<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
How to read this market
What does the percentage mean?
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
Who decides the result?
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Can I bet from COINMAG?
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.