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Predictions/Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

1.0-2.0%: 68% chance+9.5 pp · 24h

1.0-2.0% · Probability, last 30 days44% → 68%
100%50%0%
Volume
$80K
24h volume
$8K
Liquidity
$17K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Outcomes

  • 1.0-2.0%68%
  • 0-1.0%24%
  • <0%<1%
  • 6.0-7.0%<1%
  • 2.0-3.0%<1%
  • 3.0-4.0%<1%
  • 4.0-5.0%<1%
  • 5.0-6.0%<1%
  • 7.0%+<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related news

₿BITCOIN
Bitcoin·3 days ago

Bitcoin rebounds to $81.5K on strong US GDP data

Bitcoin recovered above $81,000 after third-quarter US GDP growth exceeded expectations, offsetting earlier losses from the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady.

CCOINMAGVerified
1.2K0

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

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Price
67.5¢
Shares
14.81
Payout if 1.0-2.0%: Yes wins
$14.81
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