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Predictions/Bank of England Decision in March?

Bank of England Decision in March?

No Change: 59% chance-4.5 pp · 24h

No Change · Probability, last 30 days51% → 59%
100%50%0%
Volume
$11K
24h volume
$7K
Liquidity
$5K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Mar 18, 2027

Outcomes

  • No Change59%
  • 25 bps increase22%
  • 25 bps decrease14%
  • 50+ bps increase4%
  • 50+ bps decrease2%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its March 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for March 18, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's March 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.

If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.

If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Resolution source: bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates

Related news

$BANK OF ENGLAND
Regulation·3 days ago

Bank of England consults on tokenized collateral rules for CCPs

The Bank of England has opened a consultation on how central counterparties can accept tokenized collateral, ensuring such assets meet strict liquidity and risk standards.

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8850

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
58.5¢
Shares
17.09
Payout if No Change: Yes wins
$17.09
Open on Polymarket

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