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Predictions

Live probabilities from Polymarket on crypto, the economy, politics and more. Each price is what traders pay for an outcome, so 63¢ means a 63% chance.

CryptoBitcoinEthereumEconomyPoliticsAIGeopoliticsSportsCultureAll

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

  • $1.75–$2.0T32%
  • $2.0–$2.25T21%
  • $1.5–$1.75T18%
  • +7 more
$3.0M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

  • Google53%
  • Anthropic37%
  • OpenAI6%
  • +12 more
$3.7M volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

  • Google62%
  • Anthropic35%
  • OpenAI2%
  • +18 more
$652K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Gemini Carbon released by...?

  • December 3195%
  • November 3088%
  • November 1574%
  • +6 more
$125K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

  • 1.5T+39%
  • No IPO by December 31, 202725%

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. polymarket.com

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

1.25T–1.5T
14%
  • +4 more
  • $681K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2028

    Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

    • December 3192%
    • November 3081%
    • November 1967%
    • +8 more
    $1.3M volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

    Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

    • ↑$1.5T91%
    • ↑$1.75T82%
    • ↑$2.0T68%
    • +8 more
    $6.5M volume · Ends Jan 5, 2027

    Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

    • December 31, 202833%
    • December 31, 202721%
    • June 30, 202713%
    • +1 more
    $619K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2029

    Gemini Carbon released on...?

    • November 1132%
    • November 1027%
    • November 1817%
    • +28 more
    $61K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

    Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

    • Saudi Arabia25%
    • China4%
    • Russia4%
    • +7 more
    $185K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

    GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

    • December 3184%
    • December 1583%
    • November 3067%
    • +1 more
    $624K volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

    When will Gemini Carbon be released?

    • November 9–November 1563%
    • November 16–November 2216%
    • November 2–November 811%
    • +8 more
    $79K volume · Ends Jan 4, 2027

    North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

    • December 31, 202834%
    • December 31, 202720%
    • June 30, 202713%
    • +1 more
    $344K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2029

    Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

    • December 31, 202831%
    • December 31, 202717%
    • June 30, 202712%
    • +1 more
    $6.4M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2029

    What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

    • $1.50–$1.75T54%
    • $1.75–$2.00T36%
    • $1.25–$1.50T6%
    • +5 more
    $300K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2028

    Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

    • December 31, 202833%
    • December 31, 202721%
    • June 30, 202714%
    • +1 more
    $860K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2029

    How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

    • $95B to $105B46%
    • $85B to $95B28%
    • $105B to $115B18%
    • +6 more
    $84K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2028

    Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

    • Xiaomi48%
    • Alibaba33%
    • Moonshot11%
    • +8 more
    $49K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

    Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    • DeepSeek26%
    • Moonshot AI19%
    • Xiaomi12%
    • +1 more
    $190K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

    • November 2–November 833%
    • November 9–November 1518%
    • November 30–December 614%
    • +12 more
    $57K volume · Ends Feb 1, 2027

    Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut?

    • 1470+46%
    • 1480+25%
    • 1490+16%
    • +2 more
    $99K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

    • December 31, 202833%
    • December 31, 202722%
    • June 30, 202714%
    • +1 more
    $792K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2029

    Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

    • 1500+94%
    • 1510+85%
    • 1520+72%
    • +2 more
    $113K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?

    • 50%+97%
    • 55%+98%
    • 60%+97%
    • +2 more
    $55K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut?

    • Top 2019%
    • Top 1010%
    • Top 56%
    $47K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

    • December 31, 202826%
    • June 30, 202714%
    • December 31, 202714%
    • +1 more
    $865K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2029

    GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

    • $5.50+99%
    • $5.00-$5.50<1%
    • <$3.50<1%
    • +3 more
    $77K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

    Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

    • No release by November 3034%
    • November 2713%
    • November 1410%
    • +28 more
    $13K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

    Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

    • 1440+54%
    • 1450+33%
    • 1460+19%
    • +1 more
    $64K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

    • 078%
    • 118%
    • 24%
    • +3 more
    $443K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

    In which month will Anthropic IPO?

    • November 202679%
    • December 20269%
    • January 20272%
    • +12 more
    $537K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2028

    Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

    • Google53%
    • Anthropic40%
    • MiniMax4%
    • +18 more
    $31K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

    #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

    • Meta53%
    • Anthropic24%
    • OpenAI9%
    • +18 more
    $48K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

    Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

    • Anthropic85%
    • OpenAI13%
    • Google3%
    • +13 more
    $27K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

    OpenRouter token usage week of October 26?

    • 185-195T56%
    • 195-205T40%
    • 205T+3%
    • +2 more
    $20K volume · Ends Nov 2, 2026

    OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

    • December 31, 202755%
    • December 31, 202614%
    $1.2M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2028

    OpenAI IPO by...?

    • June 30, 202745%
    • March 31, 202720%
    • December 31, 20263%
    $3.1M volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?

    • 50%+96%
    • 55%+94%
    • 60%+53%
    • +1 more
    $50K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

    23%chance
    $503K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

    Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

    • Anthropic60%
    • OpenAI29%
    • MiniMax5%
    • +18 more
    $21K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

    Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

    • November 1022%
    • No release by November 3020%
    • November 1819%
    • +28 more
    $16K volume · Ends Dec 1, 2026

    How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

    • <1210%
    • 32+<1%
    • 12-1555%
    • +4 more
    $226K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

    Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

    • 1470+14%
    • 1480+12%
    • 1490+12%
    • +3 more
    $356K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

    OpenRouter token usage week of November 2?

    • 195-205T58%
    • 185-195T20%
    • 205T+15%
    • +2 more
    $9K volume · Ends Nov 9, 2026

    GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Rank Debut?

    • Top 2028%
    • Top 1024%
    • Top 510%
    • +1 more
    $21K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

    • 1.8T+59%
    • 1.5–1.8T29%
    • 1.2–1.5T8%
    • +4 more
    $597K volume · Ends Jan 1, 2028

    Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?

    • Top 1096%
    • Top 591%
    • Top 371%
    • +1 more
    $16K volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

    OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

    • $1.30T+69%
    • $1.20-$1.30T27%
    • $1.10-$1.20T4%
    • +6 more
    $35K volume · Ends Nov 30, 2026