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Predictions/OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+: 69% chance-5.5 pp · 24h

$1.30T+ · Probability, last 30 days19% → 69%
100%50%0%
Volume
$35K
24h volume
$3K
Liquidity
$9K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Outcomes

  • $1.30T+69%
  • $1.20-$1.30T27%
  • $1.10-$1.20T3%
  • $1.00-$1.10T2%
  • $900B-$1.00T<1%
  • $800-$900B<1%
  • <$600B<1%
  • $600-$700B<1%
  • $700-$800B<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month.

If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.

If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.

If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.

If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.

Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).

If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.

If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.

The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Related news

OPENAI
Institutions·1 day ago

OpenAI Cuts 2027 Fundraising Target by $10B

OpenAI has lowered its 2027 fundraising goal from $30B to $20B amid a tech‑stock sell‑off and weaker investor demand, trimming its valuation to $1.25T.

CCOINMAGVerified
6760

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
68.5¢
Shares
14.60
Payout if $1.30T+: Yes wins
$14.60
Open on Polymarket

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Popular predictions

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All predictions

Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Resolution source: fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839

Minnesota vs. Indiana

  • Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
  • Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
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$1.5M volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026