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COINMAG Digest · October 30Quantum computer may break Bitcoin in 62 minutesRead the issue 2d
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Predictions

Live probabilities from Polymarket on crypto, the economy, politics and more. Each price is what traders pay for an outcome, so 63¢ means a 63% chance.

CryptoBitcoinEthereumEconomyPoliticsAIGeopoliticsSportsCultureAll

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

  • None25%
  • IA, KS12%
  • IA11%
  • +125 more
$20.7M volume · Ends Nov 3, 2026

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Jon Ossoff15%
  • +50 more
$1.3B volume · Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will 1win launch a token by ___?

>99%chance
$1.8M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which party will win the House in 2026?

  • Democratic Party95%
  • Republican Party6%
$35.2M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

  • Democrats Sweep72%
  • R Senate, D House23%
  • Republicans Sweep5%
  • +2 more
$49.4M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. polymarket.com

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

Minnesota vs. Indiana

  • Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
  • Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
  • Pick-Six Scored50%
$1.5M volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Worlds 2026: Winner

  • Gen.G47%
  • T123%
  • Bilibili Gaming15%
  • +5 more
$8.8M volume · Ends Nov 29, 2026

NBA Free Agency: Fred VanVleet Next Team

<1%chance
$1.2M volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Presidential Election Winner 2028

  • JD Vance18%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom11%
  • +52 more
$724.0M volume · Ends Nov 8, 2028

EPL: 2027 Champion

  • Arsenal65%
  • Manchester City11%
  • Liverpool9%
  • +17 more
$25.1M volume · Ends Jun 15, 2027

Bitcoin above ___ on November 1?

  • 70,000>99%
  • 72,000>99%
  • 74,000>99%
  • +8 more
$1.0M volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Next French Presidential Election

  • Marine Le Pen41%
  • David Lisnard19%
  • Édouard Philippe12%
  • +42 more
$162.2M volume · Ends Apr 19, 2027

Texas Senate Election Winner

  • James Talarico (D)71%
  • Ken Paxton (R)30%
$9.5M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

  • Benjamin Netanyahu38%
  • Gadi Eizenkot35%
  • Avigdor Lieberman7%
  • +16 more
$82.4M volume · Ends Oct 28, 2026

Florida vs. Georgia

  • Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
  • Pick-Six Scored50%
  • Florida vs. Georgia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
$738K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Mississippi State vs. Texas

  • Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
  • Pick-Six Scored50%
  • Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
$655K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Michigan Senate Election Winner

  • Abdul El-Sayed (D)82%
  • Mike Rogers (R)20%
$5.6M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • October 29>99%
  • October 30>99%
  • October 31>99%
  • +12 more
$42.0M volume · Ends Dec 31, 2026

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • October 31>99%
  • November 296%
  • November 488%
  • +5 more
$32.0M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

  • March 3164%
  • December 3141%
  • November 3030%
  • +2 more
$45.2M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

  • Barcelona23%
  • Paris Saint-Germain17%
  • Bayern Munich13%
  • +33 more
$64.7M volume · Ends Jun 20, 2027

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

  • J.D. Vance38%
  • Marco Rubio21%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
  • +40 more
$719.9M volume · Ends Nov 8, 2028

Stanford vs. Louisville

50%chance
$528K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

  • Democratic Party73%
  • Republican Party28%
$13.6M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Iowa Senate Election Winner

  • Ashley Hinson (R)59%
  • Josh Turek (D)42%
$1.8M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Utah vs. Cincinnati

50%chance
$442K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Missouri vs. Arkansas

50%chance
$400K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

NBA: 2027 Champion

  • San Antonio Spurs23%
  • Oklahoma City Thunder14%
  • Philadelphia 76ers11%
  • +27 more
$34.6M volume · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

  • 580+<1%
  • 300-319<1%
  • 320-339<1%
  • +12 more
$1.5M volume · Ends Nov 3, 2026

Bulgaria Presidential Election

  • Iliana Iotova85%
  • Аndrey Gyurov17%
$3.2M volume · Ends Oct 26, 2026

Ravens vs. Bills

  • O/U 30.596%
  • O/U 32.596%
  • Bills O/U 10.596%
  • +302 more
$488K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

South Carolina vs. Oklahoma

51%chance
$354K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Chiefs vs. Broncos

  • O/U 24.591%
  • O/U 26.590%
  • Chiefs O/U 10.586%
  • +302 more
$460K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

  • O/U 0.599%
  • Real Madrid CF O/U 0.596%
  • O/U 1.593%
  • +65 more
$329K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

UAB vs. South Florida

  • Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
  • Pick-Six Scored50%
  • UAB vs. South Florida: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
$310K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1?

  • ↓ 66,000<1%
  • ↓ 68,000<1%
  • ↓ 70,000<1%
  • +11 more
$1.5M volume · Ends Nov 2, 2026

Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF

  • Real Madrid CF82%
  • Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF)12%
  • Real Racing Club8%
$306K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Florida Governor Election Winner

  • Byron Donalds (R) 66%
  • David Jolly (D)35%
$1.1M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Clemson vs. Florida State

50%chance
$282K volume · Ends Oct 31, 2026

MLS Cup Winner 2026

  • Nashville SC21%
  • Inter Miami CF16%
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC15%
  • +20 more
$23.7M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Chargers vs. Rams

  • O/U 24.596%
  • Rams O/U 10.595%
  • O/U 26.594%
  • +303 more
$267K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

  • ↓ 5,000<1%
  • ↓ 10,000<1%
  • ↓ 15,000<1%
  • +27 more
$80.6M volume · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?

  • 240+<1%
  • 40-643%
  • 65-8921%
  • +6 more
$276K volume · Ends Nov 2, 2026

Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong

  • Completed Match54%
  • Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong Game Spread +/-0.551%
  • Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong48%
$229K volume · Ends Nov 8, 2026

Ethereum above ___ on November 1?

  • 1,800>99%
  • 1,900>99%
  • 2,000>99%
  • +8 more
$346K volume · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

  • SpaceX53%
  • Anthropic46%
  • OpenAI<1%
  • +9 more
$7.0M volume · Ends Jan 2, 2027

Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart

  • Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart Set 1 Winner>99%
  • Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart Set 1 O/U 8.5>99%
  • Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart Set 1 O/U 9.5>99%
  • +13 more
$147K volume · Ends Nov 8, 2026

Texas Governor Election Winner

  • Greg Abbott (R)67%
  • Gina Hinojosa (D) 33%
$1.7M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026