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Predictions/Texas Governor Election Winner

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R): 67% chance+3.2 pp · 24h

Greg Abbott (R) · Probability, last 30 days81% → 67%
100%50%0%
Volume
$1.7M
24h volume
$227K
Liquidity
$631K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Outcomes

  • Greg Abbott (R)67%
  • Gina Hinojosa (D) 33%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Related news

ANTHONY POMPLIANO
Regulation·1 day ago

Pompliano: Midterms will end market uncertainty

Anthony Pompliano argues that the crypto market's current aversion to uncertainty will resolve once the midterm elections are concluded.

CCOINMAGVerified
8570

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
67.5¢
Shares
14.83
Payout if Greg Abbott (R): Yes wins
$14.83
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

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