Amazon AWS backlog hits $578 billion, outpacing revenue growth
Amazon’s cloud unit reports a $578 billion backlog, growing faster than its 39% revenue increase, raising concerns over capacity constraints and spending plans.

53.0 to 53.9: 26% chance-13 pp · 24h
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 4, 2026
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for October 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for October 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on November 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Amazon’s cloud unit reports a $578 billion backlog, growing faster than its 39% revenue increase, raising concerns over capacity constraints and spending plans.
The CPMI published a framework defining how central banks act as issuers, operators, overseers, and catalysts amidst the rise of stablecoins and tokenized deposits.
Robinhood reported a 12% rise in total net revenue for Q3 2026, but cryptocurrency transaction revenue fell 55% year‑over‑year to $120 million as crypto volumes slipped 38%.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
KuCoin announced an immediate suspension of all products for customers in Russia and Belarus, citing compliance with legal and regulatory requirements.