Polymarket prediction markets price outcomes as percentages that reflect traders’ bets on future events. Each market closes on a set date when the question resolves. Today the most dramatic shifts were in the major crypto price questions, with Ethereum and Bitcoin odds tumbling sharply.

Ethereum odds tumble to 6%

90% → 6% (-84 pp) · $69K traded in 24h

From 90% to 6% (-84pp), $69K volume. The market resolves on November 6, 2026 on whether Ethereum trades above $2,300 that day.

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Bitcoin odds tumble to 4%

83% → 4% (-79 pp) · $121K traded in 24h

From 83% to 4% (-79pp), $121K volume. The market resolves on November 6, 2026 on whether Bitcoin trades above $78,000 that day.

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Bitcoin price target above $75,000 rises to 92%

52% → 92% (+40 pp) · $219K traded in 24h

From 52% to 92% (+40pp), $219K volume. The market resolves on December 1, 2026 on the price Bitcoin will hit in November.

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Ethereum price target above $2,200 rises to 91%

53% → 91% (+38 pp) · $61K traded in 24h

From 53% to 91% (+38pp), $61K volume. The market resolves on December 1, 2026 on the price Ethereum will hit in November.

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Anthropic IPO odds slip to 49%

83% → 49% (-33 pp) · $38K traded in 24h

From 83% to 49% (-33pp), $38K volume. The market resolves on January 1, 2027 on whether