Pete Hegseth impeachment odds plunge to 3% from 79% in 24‑hour swing
Traders dumped Pete Hegseth’s impeachment odds, sending them down to 3% with $265K traded.
Kirill Sagitovex-CEO, coytx.com · via COINMAG
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Traders dumped Pete Hegseth’s impeachment odds, sending them down to 3% with $265K traded.
Prediction markets on Polymarket let traders bet on the probability of future events, with odds reflecting the collective weight of those bets. The market prices settle when the event’s outcome is known on the listed end date. Today the most dramatic shift was a 75‑point drop in the odds that Pete Hegseth would be impeached by the end of 2026, accompanied by the highest 24‑hour volume among the listed contracts.
79% → 3% (-75 pp) · $265K traded in 24h
From 79% to 3% (‑75 pp) – $265K traded. The market resolves on whether Hegseth is impeached by Dec 31 2026 and closes Jan 1 2027.
43% → 72% (+29 pp) · $46K traded in 24h
From 43% to 72% (+29 pp) – $46K traded. The market resolves on an Iranian attack on Oman by Nov 30 2026 and closes Jan 1 2027.
29% → 6% (-22 pp) · $25K traded in 24h
From 29% to 6% (‑22 pp) – $25K traded. The market resolves on Ethereum price above $2,100 on Nov 11 2026 and ends Nov 11 2026.
30% → 13% (-17 pp) · $330K traded in 24h
From 30% to 13% (‑17 pp) – $330K traded. The market resolves on Hegseth leaving the Defense Secretary post by Dec 31 2026 and closes Jan 1 2027.
62% → 46% (-16 pp) · $237K traded in 24h
From 62% to 46% (‑16 pp) – $237K traded. The market resolves on any Fed decision change in January 2027 and ends Jan 28 2027.
4% → 23% (+18 pp) · $26K traded in 24h
From 4% to 23% (+18 pp) – $26K traded. The market resolves on Musk posting 220‑239 tweets in the period and closes Nov 13 2026.
31% → 14% (-16 pp) · $44K traded in 24h
From 31% to 14% (‑16 pp) – $44K traded. The market resolves on whether Pete Hegseth exits the Trump administration before 2027 and ends Jan 1 2027.
These odds represent traders’ bets, not forecasts or investment advice.
Data: Polymarket. Prediction market prices reflect traders' bets, not COINMAG forecasts. This is not financial advice.
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