Ethereum odds plunge to 6% as $2,300 target collapses
Ethereum odds fell from 90% to 6% in a single day, the sharpest move on Polymarket today.
Kirill Sagitovex-CEO, coytx.com · via COINMAG
Polymarket prediction markets price outcomes as percentages that reflect traders’ bets on future events. Each market closes on a set date when the question resolves. Today the most dramatic shifts were in the major crypto price questions, with Ethereum and Bitcoin odds tumbling sharply.
Ethereum odds tumble to 6%
90% → 6% (-84 pp) · $69K traded in 24h
From 90% to 6% (-84pp), $69K volume. The market resolves on November 6, 2026 on whether Ethereum trades above $2,300 that day.
Bitcoin odds tumble to 4%
83% → 4% (-79 pp) · $121K traded in 24h
From 83% to 4% (-79pp), $121K volume. The market resolves on November 6, 2026 on whether Bitcoin trades above $78,000 that day.
Bitcoin price target above $75,000 rises to 92%
52% → 92% (+40 pp) · $219K traded in 24h
From 52% to 92% (+40pp), $219K volume. The market resolves on December 1, 2026 on the price Bitcoin will hit in November.
Ethereum price target above $2,200 rises to 91%
53% → 91% (+38 pp) · $61K traded in 24h
From 53% to 91% (+38pp), $61K volume. The market resolves on December 1, 2026 on the price Ethereum will hit in November.
Anthropic IPO odds slip to 49%
83% → 49% (-33 pp) · $38K traded in 24h
From 83% to 49% (-33pp), $38K volume. The market resolves on January 1, 2027 on whether Anthropic completes an IPO by that date.
AZ-02 House race odds climb to 96% for Eli Crane
68% → 96% (+28 pp) · $33K traded in 24h
From 68% to 96% (+28pp), $33K volume. The market resolves on November 4, 2026 on the winner of the AZ-02 House election.
Largest 2026 IPO odds rise to 89% for SpaceX
68% → 89% (+21 pp) · $60K traded in 24h
From 68% to 89% (+21pp), $60K volume. The market resolves on January 2, 2027 on which company will have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026.
These odds represent traders’ bets, not forecasts or investment advice.
Data: Polymarket. Prediction market prices reflect traders' bets, not COINMAG forecasts. This is not financial advice.
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Kirill SagitovFormer CEO of coytx.com. At COINMAG he writes the daily data briefs: market sentiment, stablecoins, derivatives, DeFi and prediction markets, built on the numbers COINMAG tracks.All articles by the author
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