Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Anthropic’s Claude now lets paid U.S. users link bank accounts via Plaid and query spending, balances and bills, sparking a dispute with fintech founder Anthony Pompliano.
Riot Platforms disclosed a 15‑year, $28 billion lease with AI firm Anthropic for its Corsicana campus, including a clause that could obligate the miner to pay 12% interest on rent credits if financing falls short.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
Riot Platforms’ Corsicana lease with AI firm Anthropic ties $28 billion of future rent to 910 MW of critical IT capacity and requires Anthropic’s consent for any voluntary curtailment.
Anthropic’s FlashProve can cryptographically prove model outputs, but generating proofs requires 70‑95× more GPU time than standard inference, limiting its immediate practicality.
BitMEX co‑founder Arthur Hayes cautions that massive share releases from upcoming AI IPOs may strain dollar liquidity and weigh on Bitcoin until central banks act.
After sweeping the 2026 midterms, Democratic leaders warned that Trump‑related businesses and major tech CEOs will face congressional subpoenas and investigations.
