Prediction markets on Polymarket let traders bet on the outcome of real‑world events, with odds reflecting the collective weight of those bets. The markets close on the dates listed, and the final odds determine payouts.

Today the biggest mover was the Kai Cenat GTA marathon market, which leapt from 17% to 75%. Several Fed‑related markets also saw notable shifts, and a few other questions experienced sharp reversals.

Odds of Kai Cenat finishing GTA marathon rise to 75%

17% → 75% (+58 pp) · $150K traded in 24h

The market resolves on whether Kai Cenat completes the GTA marathon by 7:59 AM ET on November 11. It closes on November 17, 2026.

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Odds of Anthropic IPO by Nov 20 climb to 89%

53% → 89% (+37 pp) · $38K traded in 24h

Traders bet on whether Anthropic will go public by November 20, 2026. The market ends on January 1, 2027.

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Odds of Bitcoin above $74,000 drop to 43%

67% → 43% (-25 pp) · $67K traded in 24h

This market settles on Bitcoin’s price on November 10, 2026. It closes on the same day.

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Odds of another Fed rate hike in 2026 rise to 97%

76% → 97% (+21 pp) · $257K traded in 24h

Traders wager on whether the Federal Reserve will implement an additional rate increase in 2026. The market ends on December 10, 2026.

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Odds of a single Fed hike in 2026 fall to 3%

24% → 3% (-20 pp) · $37K traded in 24h

The question asks how many 25‑basis‑point Fed hikes will occur in 2026, with the market focusing on the one‑hike scenario. It closes on January 1, 2027.