
数据:Polymarket,每分钟更新。 · 2028年1月1日 截止
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury officially announces that it has purchased Bitcoin between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement must clearly and unambiguously communicate a completed purchase of Bitcoin; statements that the Treasury intends, plans, or is authorized to purchase Bitcoin, including through legislation or an executive order, will not qualify. Bitcoin acquired through seizure, forfeiture, or other non-purchase means, and indirect exposure such as funds or ETFs, will not qualify.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announcement is later reversed or retracted, or whether the Bitcoin is subsequently sold.
A qualifying announcement must come from an official U.S. government source or an authorized U.S. government official acting in an official capacity, and must concern a purchase carried out by or on behalf of the Treasury. Qualifying sources include Treasury press releases, statements, websites, social media accounts, and Federal Register notices, as well as recorded or written statements by Treasury officials, the President, or the White House. For purposes of this market, the Treasury includes its bureaus and sub-bodies, such as the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, and any Treasury-authorized entity acting on its behalf.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States government; however, a definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Michael Saylor 表示比特币是数字资本,Strategy 将其转化为数字信用和股权,并将 $STRC 与 $MSTR 上链。
由 Sam Altman 及主要投资者支持的 Meanwhile 创建了一家全牌照保险公司,其持有资本并以比特币支付理赔。
这是「是」这一结果的最新价格。交易者以这个美元比例购买合约,若事件发生,合约支付 1 美元,因此价格可以看作市场对概率的估计。
市场按以下规则结算。Polymarket 使用 UMA 乐观预言机:任何人都可以提出结果,并在质疑期内提出异议。
可以,在 Polymarket 可用的地区。你连接自己的钱包;下注直接进入 Polymarket,资金从不经过 COINMAG。 每笔下注会加收 1% 的 COINMAG 费用。
CryptoQuant 的牛市得分降至最低读数 0,表明在比特币跌至约 73,000 美元之际,所有十个链上和市场信号均呈看跌态势。
Glassnode 11 月 11 日报告显示稳定币供应收缩,美国现货比特币 ETF 出现净赎回,Coinbase 折价扩大,同时大额钱包开始累计。