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COINMAG Digest · November 9Formation Securities files to launch 24/7 tokenized…Read the issue 15hFormation Securities files to launch 24/7 tokenized stock market on SoFormation Securities has applied to the SEC for permission to open a Solana‑based exchange that would trade tokenized US equities around the clock, aiming for aOpen 15h🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 9Bitcoin dips to $75,618 as AI panic and US midterms shake marketsListen 22h🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 8Bitcoin drops 5.5% as stablecoin supply shrinks and Fed reserves surgeListen 2dCOINMAG Digest · November 721 of 35 validators back XRP Ledger upgradeRead the issue 3d🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 7Treasury Blocks MEXC Global Over $16 Billion in Sanction‑EvasionListen 3d🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 6Binance pushes Arbitrum DAO to free 8,426 ETH and 74.56 M ARBListen 4dCOINMAG Digest · November 5Google adds five countries to AI‑cost buyout programRead the issue 5d
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TrendingRipple outlines custody framework as 37 banks ready for Qivalis euro stablecoinRegulationIRS ramps up Letter 6174 campaign targeting crypto taxpayersRegulationChangpeng Zhao: Tokenized stocks trade 24/7, giving you an edge on news over the weekendMarketsHIVE Digital Boosts Bitcoin Production 49% Yet Revenue Drops on Lower PricesMiningMeta unveils Muse Ember, a low‑cost AI agent modelAINFT Worlds rebrands as Far Worlds, launches free browser alphaGamingPavel Durov: 700K+ Telegram wallets created in 48 hoursInstitutionsImmutable Chain to Adopt Optimism OP Stack, Targeting 1‑Second Blocks by Mid‑2027Layer 2
Predictions/Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google · Probability, last 30 days51% → 70%
100%50%0%
Volume
$52K
24h volume
$5K
Liquidity
$82K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Outcomes

  • Google70%
  • Anthropic27%
  • OpenAI3%
  • Meta<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.

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Price
70¢
Shares
14.29
COINMAG fee (1%)
$0.10
Payout if Google: Yes wins
$14.29
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