Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Outcomes
Jack Lowden42%
Callum Turner26%
No Bond chosen17%
Josh O'Connor10%
Tom Francis2%
Jack Barton1%
Jacob Elordi<1%
James Norton<1%
Paul Mescal<1%
Harris Dickinson<1%
Henry Cavill<1%
Richard Madden<1%
Jack O'Connell<1%
Tom Hardy<1%
Theo James<1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%
Pierce Brosnan<1%
Tom Holland<1%
Robert James-Collier<1%
Timothee Chalamet<1%
Michael B Jordan<1%
Nicholas Galitzine<1%
Jonathan Bailey<1%
Tom Blyth<1%
Joe Alwyn<1%
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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CCOINMAG
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How to read this market
What does the percentage mean?
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
Who decides the result?
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Can I bet from COINMAG?
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.