Polymarket and Kalshi Predict Democratic Sweep in 2026 Midterms
Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi give Democrats a 74‑78% chance of controlling both chambers in the 2026 midterms, echoing traditional pollsters.
CCOINMAG
8530
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 4, 2026
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi give Democrats a 74‑78% chance of controlling both chambers in the 2026 midterms, echoing traditional pollsters.
Bitcoin could bottom between mid‑November 2026 and mid‑January 2027 if the recent midterm cycle pattern repeats, analysts say.
Bitcoin stayed above its 100‑day SMA as US midterm elections, jobs reports and tech earnings loom, prompting analysts to weigh short‑term risks and buying opportunities.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
Anthony Pompliano argues that the crypto market's current aversion to uncertainty will resolve once the midterm elections are concluded.
