51% chance
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 12, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
HIVE Digital Technologies mined 49% more Bitcoin in Q3 2026 but saw revenue fall 7.4% as Bitcoin prices slipped, prompting a shift toward AI computing expansion.
Cardano’s governance team unveiled a fast‑track deactivation mechanism for the pending Leios scaling system while weekly reports show the prototype still in development, not yet ready for mainnet.
Bitcoin’s price, hashprice and network hashrate all fell this week, while transaction fees rose 31%, according to the Hashrate Index weekly roundup.
Brazilian exchange Mercado Bitcoin will let users see balances as of Nov. 2 while withdrawals and trading stay halted pending further security checks.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda explained that Japan's foreign‑income surplus does not automatically translate into yen‑funded Bitcoin pressure, highlighting the role of retained affiliate profits and leveraged carry trades.
Acala and its sister network Karura have announced plans to cease operations in early 2027 due to insufficient DeFi liquidity, pending community referendums.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
