2% chance
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if BIP-360 is implemented on the Bitcoin network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
HIVE Digital Technologies mined 49% more Bitcoin in Q3 2026 but saw revenue fall 7.4% as Bitcoin prices slipped, prompting a shift toward AI computing expansion.
Bitcoin’s price, hashprice and network hashrate all fell this week, while transaction fees rose 31%, according to the Hashrate Index weekly roundup.
Brazilian exchange Mercado Bitcoin will let users see balances as of Nov. 2 while withdrawals and trading stay halted pending further security checks.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda explained that Japan's foreign‑income surplus does not automatically translate into yen‑funded Bitcoin pressure, highlighting the role of retained affiliate profits and leveraged carry trades.
Large Bitcoin holders are increasingly swapping their self‑custodied coins for shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, citing kidnapping and hack threats.
A temporary data error on TradingView made Bitcoin's market share appear to plunge, sparking false altcoin‑season hype before other trackers corrected the numbers.