November 20: 22% chance+4 pp · 24h
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Solana’s recent code change can omit commission rates from reward metadata, making it harder for delegators to verify fees despite payouts remaining unchanged.
Anthropic’s seven co‑founders collectively hold roughly 1.4% of the AI firm, a stake that could be worth more than $200 billion under a $2 trillion IPO valuation.
LBank has opened a Pre‑IPO market, letting users buy tokenized exposure to Kalshi ahead of its potential IPO, with two token options and a $500k subscription cap.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
