Prediction markets price the probability of future events based on traders’ bets. Each market closes on a set date when the outcome is resolved. Today several markets showed sharp moves, led by a 40‑point rise in the Puffpaw FDV question.

Odds of Puffpaw FDV above $100M jump to 83%

43% → 83% (+40 pp) · $65K traded in 24h

The market resolves on January 1, 2027.

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Odds of Bitcoin hitting target price fall to 14%

42% → 14% (-28 pp) · $63K traded in 24h

The market resolves on November 9, 2026.

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Odds of Anthropic IPO by end‑Nov 2026 rise to 78%

52% → 78% (+26 pp) · $52K traded in 24h

The market resolves on January 1, 2027.

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Odds of Christopher Luxon becoming NZ PM rise to 83%

57% → 83% (+26 pp) · $41K traded in 24h

The market resolves on November 8, 2026.

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Odds of Ulf Kristersson becoming Sweden PM rise to 55%

33% → 55% (+22 pp) · $117K traded in 24h

The market resolves on July 1, 2027.

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Odds of Stephen Miller leaving Trump admin drop to 4%

17% → 4% (-13 pp) · $27K traded in 24h

The market resolves on January 1, 2027.