December 31: 95% prob.+0.2 pp · 24h
Datos: Polymarket, actualizados cada minuto. · Hasta 1 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Es el último precio del resultado Sí. Los traders pagan esa parte de un dólar por un contrato que paga $1 si el evento ocurre, así que el precio se lee como la probabilidad estimada por el mercado.
El mercado se resuelve según las reglas de abajo. Polymarket usa el oráculo optimista de UMA: cualquiera puede proponer el resultado y disputarlo durante un periodo de impugnación.
Sí, donde Polymarket esté disponible. Conectas tu propia billetera; la apuesta va a Polymarket y el dinero nunca pasa por COINMAG.
