数据：Polymarket，每分钟更新。 · 2028年1月1日 截止
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
这是「是」这一结果的最新价格。交易者以这个美元比例购买合约，若事件发生，合约支付 1 美元，因此价格可以看作市场对概率的估计。
市场按以下规则结算。Polymarket 使用 UMA 乐观预言机：任何人都可以提出结果，并在质疑期内提出异议。
可以，在 Polymarket 可用的地区。你连接自己的钱包；下注直接进入 Polymarket，资金从不经过 COINMAG。 每笔下注会加收 1% 的 COINMAG 费用。
