Bitcoin odds plunge to 6% as traders dump $74K market
Bitcoin above $74,000 fell sharply while other crypto odds surged, marking the most volatile day on Polymarket.
Kirill Sagitovex-CEO, coytx.com · via COINMAG
Polymarket prediction markets price outcomes as percentages that reflect the collective bets of traders. Each market closes on a set date when the result is resolved. Today the biggest moves were a collapse in the Bitcoin $74K question and a surge in the Bitcoin $72K‑$74K price range, with notable shifts in Ethereum and NVIDIA leadership bets.
Odds of Bitcoin above $74,000 on Nov 12 drop to 6%
40% → 6% (-34 pp) · $78K traded in 24h
Traders bet on whether Bitcoin will close above $74,000 on November 12, 2026. The market ends on November 12, 2026.
Odds of Bitcoin hitting $72,000‑$74,000 on Nov 12 rise to 62%
57% → 90% (+32 pp) · $26K traded in 24h
The market resolves on the price range Bitcoin will close within on November 12, 2026. It ends on November 12, 2026.
Odds of Bitcoin above $72,000 during Nov 9‑15 climb to 90%
5% → 32% (+27 pp) · $74K traded in 24h
Traders predict Bitcoin will stay above $72,000 at any point between November 9 and 15, 2026. The market closes on November 16, 2026.
Odds of Ethereum above $2,000 on Nov 12 fall to 56%
78% → 56% (-22 pp) · $51K traded in 24h
The question asks if Ethereum will close above $2,000 on November 12, 2026. The market ends on November 12, 2026.
Odds of NVIDIA’s next CEO being Colette Kress rise to 32%
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Kirill SagitovFormer CEO of coytx.com. At COINMAG he writes the daily data briefs: market sentiment, stablecoins, derivatives, DeFi and prediction markets, built on the numbers COINMAG tracks.All articles by the author
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