<1% chance
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Mar 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Take‑Two Interactive says GTA VI pre‑orders have far exceeded expectations, with estimates of 7.71 million digital orders, as the game’s pre‑load becomes available on PS5 and Xbox.
Ayu PramestiPolymarket saw Kai Cenat’s marathon odds jump 58 percentage points, while Fed rate expectations also rose sharply.
Kirill SagitovRockstar Games moves GTA VI digital pre‑load to Nov 10 and Sensor Tower estimates the title has almost 7.8 million pre‑orders, approaching the Cyberpunk 2077 record.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
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