Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Dec 16, 2026
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Downdetector reports service disruptions at Westpac, St George, Commonwealth, NAB and ANZ, with Westpac confirming a technical issue affecting apps, online banking and PayID.
Naomi JohnsonGunzilla Games announced a December 27‑January 15 window for Off The Grid 1.0, tying the full release to a mainnet migration and postponing legendary weapons.
Kenji SatoDogecoin reclaimed its 4‑hour 50‑EMA and is testing a descending trendline near $0.0786, while futures open interest falls and ETF inflows remain at zero since mid‑October.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
KuCoin’s Head of Talent Acquisition Karina Li outlined how cross‑disciplinary skills, AI integration and structured development are reshaping Web3 careers during the Web3 Career Connect panel.
After sweeping the 2026 midterms, Democratic leaders warned that Trump‑related businesses and major tech CEOs will face congressional subpoenas and investigations.
Next Technology Holding (NXTT) has given its CEO authority to sell or pledge its 5,833 BTC holdings, valued at about $455 million, after re‑evaluating custody risks following the recent Binance hack.
