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COINMAG Digest · November 9Formation Securities files to launch 24/7 tokenized…Read the issue 15hFormation Securities files to launch 24/7 tokenized stock market on SoFormation Securities has applied to the SEC for permission to open a Solana‑based exchange that would trade tokenized US equities around the clock, aiming for aOpen 15h🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 9Bitcoin dips to $75,618 as AI panic and US midterms shake marketsListen 22h🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 8Bitcoin drops 5.5% as stablecoin supply shrinks and Fed reserves surgeListen 2dCOINMAG Digest · November 721 of 35 validators back XRP Ledger upgradeRead the issue 3d🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 7Treasury Blocks MEXC Global Over $16 Billion in Sanction‑EvasionListen 3d🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 6Binance pushes Arbitrum DAO to free 8,426 ETH and 74.56 M ARBListen 4dCOINMAG Digest · November 5Google adds five countries to AI‑cost buyout programRead the issue 5d
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Predictions/#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 9?

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 9?

DeepSeek · Probability, last 30 days97% → 97%
100%50%0%
Volume
$7K
24h volume
$7K
Liquidity
$9K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 17, 2026

Outcomes

  • DeepSeek97%
  • OpenAI2%
  • Google2%
  • Tencent<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Anthropic<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Meta<1%
  • Qwen<1%
  • xAI<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 16, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 16, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 20, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Resolution source: openrouter.ai/rankings

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How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.

Place a bet

Price
96.8¢
Shares
10.34
COINMAG fee (1%)
$0.10
Payout if DeepSeek: Yes wins
$10.34
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