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Macro

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release

Tue, Nov 10, 01:30 PM · Add it to your calendar and follow our coverage

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COINMAG Digest · November 9Formation Securities files to launch 24/7 tokenized…Read the issue 15hFormation Securities files to launch 24/7 tokenized stock market on SoFormation Securities has applied to the SEC for permission to open a Solana‑based exchange that would trade tokenized US equities around the clock, aiming for aOpen 15h🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 9Bitcoin dips to $75,618 as AI panic and US midterms shake marketsListen 22h🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 8Bitcoin drops 5.5% as stablecoin supply shrinks and Fed reserves surgeListen 2dCOINMAG Digest · November 721 of 35 validators back XRP Ledger upgradeRead the issue 3d🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 7Treasury Blocks MEXC Global Over $16 Billion in Sanction‑EvasionListen 3d🎙 COINMAG Daily · November 6Binance pushes Arbitrum DAO to free 8,426 ETH and 74.56 M ARBListen 4dCOINMAG Digest · November 5Google adds five countries to AI‑cost buyout programRead the issue 5d
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TrendingRipple outlines custody framework as 37 banks ready for Qivalis euro stablecoinRegulationIRS ramps up Letter 6174 campaign targeting crypto taxpayersRegulationChangpeng Zhao: Tokenized stocks trade 24/7, giving you an edge on news over the weekendMarketsHIVE Digital Boosts Bitcoin Production 49% Yet Revenue Drops on Lower PricesMiningMeta unveils Muse Ember, a low‑cost AI agent modelAINFT Worlds rebrands as Far Worlds, launches free browser alphaGamingPavel Durov: 700K+ Telegram wallets created in 48 hoursInstitutionsImmutable Chain to Adopt Optimism OP Stack, Targeting 1‑Second Blocks by Mid‑2027Layer 2
Predictions/Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI · Probability, last 30 days55% → 31%
100%50%0%
Volume
$32K
24h volume
$4K
Liquidity
$39K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Outcomes

  • OpenAI31%
  • Google26%
  • Anthropic17%
  • Nvidia6%
  • Moonshot6%
  • Meta6%
  • SpaceXAI3%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • Mistral<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related news

META
AI·2 hours ago

Meta unveils Muse Ember, a low‑cost AI agent model

Meta released Muse Ember, a lightweight reasoning model designed to handle routine AI agent tasks at a fraction of the price of competing models.

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4220
ΞIMMUTABLE
Layer 2·5 hours ago

Immutable Chain to Adopt Optimism OP Stack, Targeting 1‑Second Blocks by Mid‑2027

Immutable announced its shift from a custom Geth fork to the Optimism OP Stack, turning its chain into an Ethereum rollup with faster block times and tighter security.

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7600
ANIMOCA BRANDS
Institutions·18 hours ago

Animoca Brands appoints co‑founder Yat Siu as CEO to lead AI‑agent strategy

Animoca Brands named co‑founder Yat Siu its chief executive, shifting focus to AI‑driven agents and institutional finance while preparing for a future public listing.

CCOINMAGVerified
3890

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.

Place a bet

Price
31¢
Shares
32.26
COINMAG fee (1%)
$0.10
Payout if OpenAI: Yes wins
$32.26
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

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Arthur Hayes: Calls for community questions on Flop Labs testnet

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