28% chance−6 pp in 24h
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Santiago Peña stepped down as Paraguay grapples with the fallout from digital lender Ueno Bank's failure, which left millions of customers unable to access their funds.
Schiff warns that Friday’s steep drop in gold could signal a short‑term liquidity issue that may spread to broader markets by next week.
Strategy's CFO Andrew Kang is stepping down effective November 5, following a period where company insiders sold over $30 million in MSTR shares.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
