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Macro

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release

Tue, Nov 10, 01:30 PM · Add it to your calendar and follow our coverage

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release
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Predictions/Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99% · Probability, last 30 days36% → 48%
100%50%0%
Volume
$125K
24h volume
$10K
Liquidity
$12K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 9, 2027

Outcomes

  • 3.50% to 3.99%49%
  • 4.00% to 4.49%40%
  • 3.00% to 3.49%6%
  • 5.00% to 5.49%3%
  • 2.50% to 2.99%<1%
  • 4.50% to 4.99%<1%
  • <2.50%<1%
  • 5.50%+<1%

Resolution rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.

The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario

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How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

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Payout if 3.50% to 3.99%: Yes wins
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Popular predictions

Bills vs. Vikings

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  • Bills vs. Vikings89%
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$7.5M volume · Ends Nov 10, 2026

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