Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Dec 4, 2026
Outcomes
150k+26%
75k to 100k23%
<25k18%
50k to 75k17%
100k to 125k12%
125k to 150k7%
25k to 50k5%
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November 2026, scheduled to be released on December 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Blur will deactivate its website on November 12, ending the primary UI for NFT trades and halting new Blend loan matches, while on‑chain contracts remain active.
A surprisingly strong October jobs report sent Bitcoin down to $75,200 before it recovered to around $76,000, keeping the cryptocurrency below its 200‑day moving average.
Around $2.7 billion of Bitcoin options will settle at 08:00 UTC on Nov 6, just before the US employment data, leaving traders with a five‑hour protection gap.
CCOINMAG
633
How to read this market
What does the percentage mean?
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
Who decides the result?
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Can I bet from COINMAG?
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
Ripple unlocked 1 billion XRP from escrow on November 1, worth about $1.25 billion, but the net impact on circulating supply remains unclear as the company may return a large portion to escrow.