Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jul 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any form of online multiplayer for Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Online multiplayer” refers to any official mode in which multiple players can play Grand Theft Auto VI together online, whether as part of the base game or as a separate online title such as a new GTA Online.
For the purposes of this market, “release” refers to the online multiplayer becoming publicly available for purchase, download, or play in the US. Open betas available to the general public will count. Closed betas, early access, technical tests, other forms of private or pre-release access, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Take‑Two Interactive says GTA VI pre‑orders have far exceeded expectations, with estimates of 7.71 million digital orders, as the game’s pre‑load becomes available on PS5 and Xbox.
Ayu PramestiPolymarket saw Kai Cenat’s marathon odds jump 58 percentage points, while Fed rate expectations also rose sharply.
Kirill SagitovRockstar Games moves GTA VI digital pre‑load to Nov 10 and Sensor Tower estimates the title has almost 7.8 million pre‑orders, approaching the Cyberpunk 2077 record.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
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