Robinhood: 27% chance-3 pp · 24h
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027".
A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count.
Tokenized stocks are available on a platform when customers holding a U.S. account with that platform are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on that platform, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the platform's app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify.
If two or more listed platforms qualify on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the platform whose tokenized stocks became purchasable first; if that order cannot be established, to the platform that first publicly confirmed availability.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the platforms; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
CryptoQuant CEO notes Coinbase Premium fell to its lowest level since the post-FTX collapse, signaling bearish sentiment but potential buying opportunity for Bitcoin.
Sanxingdui: Future Past, China's first fully AI-generated feature, launched with a wide rollout but generated only $9,700 in presales, highlighting the gap between technical capability and audience demand.
Robinhood reported a 12% rise in total net revenue for Q3 2026, but cryptocurrency transaction revenue fell 55% year‑over‑year to $120 million as crypto volumes slipped 38%.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
Coinbase reported a $719 million net profit for Q3 2026, largely from crypto investment gains, while subscription services and prediction markets lifted revenue diversification.
Coinbase confirmed RLUSD is now available on its Prime, Exchange and consumer apps, supporting XRP Ledger, Base and Ethereum, while Ripple’s CEO stresses XRP remains the priority.
Uniswap has enabled Robinhood to use its Token Jar tool for converting on-chain fees into stablecoins, creating a new arbitrage opportunity for searchers.