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Predictions/Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)

Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)

-0.2 to -0.1% · Probability, last 30 days47% → 57%
100%50%0%
Volume
$10K
24h volume
$6K
Liquidity
$4K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Outcomes

  • -0.2 to -0.1%57%
  • 0.0 to 0.1%24%
  • <-0.2%15%
  • 0.2 to 0.3%4%
  • 0.6%+4%
  • 0.4 to 0.5%4%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending September 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for September 2026, scheduled for release on November 30, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.

Resolution source: www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

Related news

₿BITCOIN
Bitcoin·7 days ago

Bitcoin rebounds to $81.5K on strong US GDP data

Bitcoin recovered above $81,000 after third-quarter US GDP growth exceeded expectations, offsetting earlier losses from the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady.

CCOINMAGVerified
1.2K0

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

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Price
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Shares
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Payout if -0.2 to -0.1%: Yes wins
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