$1B: 45% chance-0.5 pp · 24h
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
CryptoQuant CEO notes Coinbase Premium fell to its lowest level since the post-FTX collapse, signaling bearish sentiment but potential buying opportunity for Bitcoin.
Coinbase reported a $719 million net profit for Q3 2026, largely from crypto investment gains, while subscription services and prediction markets lifted revenue diversification.
Coinbase confirmed RLUSD is now available on its Prime, Exchange and consumer apps, supporting XRP Ledger, Base and Ethereum, while Ripple’s CEO stresses XRP remains the priority.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
Coinbase stated that a security incident at analytics vendor Amplitude affected a small subset of user contact information, while confirming that its own systems and customer funds were not compromised.