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Predictions/#2 US Spotify Song 2026

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Man I Need – Olivia Dean · Probability, last 30 days14% → 79%
100%50%0%
Volume
$156K
24h volume
$5K
Liquidity
$22K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Outcomes

  • Man I Need – Olivia Dean78%
  • Earrings – Malcom Todd8%
  • Choosin Texas – Ella Langley<1%
  • Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%
  • Risk It All – Bruno Mars<1%
  • APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars<1%
  • Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<1%
  • Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson<1%
  • Swim – BTS<1%
  • Billie Jean – Michael Jackson<1%
  • Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj<1%
  • hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande<1%
  • Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<1%

Resolution rules

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026.

This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.

The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.

Place a bet

Price
77.6¢
Shares
12.89
COINMAG fee (1%)
$0.10
Payout if Man I Need – Olivia Dean: Yes wins
$12.89
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

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