20% de chances−7 pts en 24 h
Données : Polymarket, mises à jour chaque minute. · Clôture le 1 janv. 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
The boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
La Banque nationale d'Ukraine estime que le dernier projet de loi crypto ne traite pas de la supervision des jetons étrangers, des règles inégales et des risques de monopole sur les plateformes d’échange, et invite les législateurs à le réviser.
C'est le dernier prix de l'issue Oui. Les traders paient cette fraction d'un dollar pour un contrat qui rapporte 1 $ si l'événement se produit ; le prix se lit donc comme l'estimation des chances par le marché.
Le marché est résolu selon les règles ci-dessous. Polymarket utilise l'oracle optimiste d'UMA : chacun peut proposer une issue et la contester pendant une période de recours.
Oui, là où Polymarket est disponible. Vous connectez votre propre portefeuille ; le pari part sur Polymarket et l'argent ne transite jamais par COINMAG. Des frais COINMAG de 1% s'ajoutent à chaque pari.
