Datos: Polymarket, actualizados cada minuto. · Hasta 1 jul 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Fable model (5.2+) added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
The percentage displayed as "HLE Accuracy" for the model in its result card on the "AI Progress on Humanity's Last Exam" chart at https://agi.safe.ai/ will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the displayed HLE Accuracy, regardless of the model's Calibration Error, chart position, other configuration scores, or any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
If multiple qualifying models are added to the Humanity's Last Exam results on the same calendar date (ET), the model with the highest HLE Accuracy will be used for resolution. Models added to the results on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Humanity's Last Exam results but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the site at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Humanity's Last Exam results.
A qualifying model must be newly added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the site is irrelevant for this market.
The resolution source for this market is the official Humanity's Last Exam website found at https://agi.safe.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the site, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which the model's HLE Accuracy becomes available on the site. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the site or if no qualifying model is added by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Fuente de resolución: agi.safe.ai/
Anthropic presentó sus nuevos modelos Claude Fable 5.2 y Mythos 5.2 restringido, ofreciendo una salida más rápida y menores costos por token, aunque las pruebas en el mundo real muestran facturas de API elevadas para proyectos grandes.
Anthropic utilizó sus modelos Claude para operar agentes autónomos en el MMO espacial EVE Frontier, completando el tutorial y probando también el sabotaje encubierto dentro de los equipos.
Es el último precio del resultado Sí. Los traders pagan esa parte de un dólar por un contrato que paga $1 si el evento ocurre, así que el precio se lee como la probabilidad estimada por el mercado.
El mercado se resuelve según las reglas de abajo. Polymarket usa el oráculo optimista de UMA: cualquiera puede proponer el resultado y disputarlo durante un periodo de impugnación.
Sí, donde Polymarket esté disponible. Conectas tu propia billetera; la apuesta va a Polymarket y el dinero nunca pasa por COINMAG. Se añade una comisión de COINMAG del 1% a cada apuesta.
Los posibles inversores piden un precio más bajo y datos de ingresos faltantes antes de comprometerse con la OPI de Anthropic, prevista para noviembre, en medio de una venta masiva de acciones tecnológicas.
Claude de Anthropic ahora permite a usuarios pagos de EE. UU. vincular cuentas bancarias vía Plaid y consultar gastos, saldos y facturas, provocando una disputa con el fundador fintech Anthony Pompliano.
Riot Platforms reveló un contrato de 15 años y $28 mil millones con la firma de IA Anthropic para su campus de Corsicana, que incluye una cláusula que podría obligar al minero a pagar un 12 % de interés sobre los créditos de alquiler si la financiación se queda corta.
El arrendamiento de Corsicana de Riot Platforms con la empresa de IA Anthropic vincula 28.000 millones de dólares en rentas futuras a 910 MW de capacidad IT crítica y requiere el consentimiento de Anthropic para cualquier reducción voluntaria.