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COINMAG Digest · October 30Quantum computer may break Bitcoin in 62 minutesRead the issue 2 T.
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Im TrendBitcoin-Volatilität steigt kurz nach Fed-Events, normalisiert sich aber innerhalb weniger Stunden, zeigt StudieBitcoinSolana-Staking-Erträge verbergen Validatoren-Provisionen nach Custom-Collector-UpdateAltcoinsBinance-Hack führt in vier Minuten zu einem Diebstahl von 296 Mio. USD XRPRegulierungBitcoin bleibt bei rund 77.000 USD trotz steigender Derivate‑Exposition und ETF‑AbflüssenBitcoinPeter Schiff verbindet Goldverkauf mit möglicher LiquiditätskriseRegulierungBanken haben ein Risiko von 349 Mrd. $ gegenüber US‑Private‑Credit‑FondsRegulierungBinance-Hack löst Kim Jong Un-Memes aus und wirft Fragen zu Nordkoreas Krypto-Gewinnen aufRegulierungBitcoin-Whitepaper wird 18 Jahre alt – Langfristige SicherheitsfragenRegulierung
Prognosen/Highest temperature in Singapore on November 1?

Highest temperature in Singapore on November 1?

32°C: >99% Chance+60.2 pp · 24h

32°C · Wahrscheinlichkeit, letzte 30 Tage34% → >99%
100%50%0%
Volumen
$45K
24h-Volumen
$31K
Liquidität
$40K

Daten: Polymarket, minütlich aktualisiert. · Bis 1. Nov. 2026

Ergebnisse

  • 32°C>99%
  • 33°C<1%
  • 28°C or below<1%
  • 29°C<1%
  • 30°C<1%
  • 31°C<1%
  • 34°C<1%
  • 35°C<1%
  • 36°C<1%
  • 37°C<1%
  • 38°C or higher<1%

Auflösungsregeln

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Singapore Changi Airport (WSSS) on 1 Nov '26.

The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Singapore Changi Airport (WSSS) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.

For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf

The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C.

If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded.

Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Celsius. The qualifying value is rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Celsius value determines which range contains it. For example, 13.9°C counts as 14°C; 17.4°C counts as 17°C; 16.5°C counts as 17°C; −1.7°C counts as −2°C; −8.5°C counts as −8°C.

An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date.

This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date.

In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that neither source has published data sufficient to determine a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR). Changes to observations within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. Where the first routine observation for the following date is published before that deadline, resolution is determined from a read taken after it. Where it is not, resolution is determined from a read taken at that deadline.

Passende News

LEDGER
Regulierung·vor 2 Tagen

Singapurische Polizei meldet 3,5 Mio. S$ Verluste durch manipulierte Ledger‑Wallets

Singapurische Behörden berichten, dass bösartige Hardware in lokal verkauften Ledger‑Geräten zu mindestens 3,5 Mio. S$ an Krypto‑Verlusten geführt hat, was eine umfassende Sicherheitswarnung auslöst.

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ChangeNOW stellt Vision der Krypto-Super-App auf der TOKEN2049 in Singapur vor

ChangeNOW empfing Branchenführer auf der TOKEN2049 in Singapur, um die Vereinfachung von Benutzeroberflächen und den Aufstieg von All-in-One-Krypto-Apps zu diskutieren.

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So liest du diesen Markt

Was bedeutet die Prozentzahl?

Es ist der letzte Preis für Ja. Trader zahlen diesen Anteil eines Dollars für einen Kontrakt, der $1 auszahlt, wenn das Ereignis eintritt; der Preis ist also die Einschätzung des Marktes.

Wer entscheidet das Ergebnis?

Der Markt wird nach den Regeln unten aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt das optimistische Orakel von UMA: Jeder kann ein Ergebnis vorschlagen und es in einer Prüffrist anfechten.

Kann ich über COINMAG wetten?

Ja, wo Polymarket verfügbar ist. Du verbindest deine eigene Wallet; die Wette geht an Polymarket und das Geld läuft nie über COINMAG.

Wette platzieren

Preis
99.7¢
Anteile
10.04
Auszahlung bei 32°C: Yes
$10.04
Auf Polymarket öffnen

Prognosemärkte bergen ein hohes Verlustrisiko. Wetten gehen von deiner eigenen Wallet an Polymarket; COINMAG verwahrt nie dein Geld und ist nicht Partei des Handels.

Nicht verfügbar in den USA, im Vereinigten Königreich, in Frankreich, Deutschland, Russland und einigen anderen Ländern.

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Alle Prognosen

In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

The resolution source for this market will be the routine observations for Singapore Changi Airport (WSSS) published here: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=WSSS&format=raw&date=2026-11-01T19:00:00Z&hours=30

Quelle der Auflösung: aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=WSSS&format=raw&date=

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