8% 概率24 小时 −1 个百分点
数据：Polymarket，每分钟更新。 · 2028年1月1日 截止
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
这是「是」这一结果的最新价格。交易者以这个美元比例购买合约，若事件发生，合约支付 1 美元，因此价格可以看作市场对概率的估计。
市场按以下规则结算。Polymarket 使用 UMA 乐观预言机：任何人都可以提出结果，并在质疑期内提出异议。
可以，在 Polymarket 可用的地区。你连接自己的钱包；下注直接进入 Polymarket，资金从不经过 COINMAG。 每笔下注会加收 1% 的 COINMAG 费用。
