
数据:Polymarket,每分钟更新。 · 2028年1月1日 截止
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Anthropic 计划于 11 月 19 日进行估值 1.4 万亿美元的 IPO,拟募资 644 亿美元,并包含 260 亿美元私募配售,引发分析师对比特币及其他数字资产潜在影响的评估。
FTX 破产资产组合于 2024 年以 13.4 亿美元出售其 Anthropic 投资;按该公司计划中的 IPO 价格计算,该持仓估值可能在 310 亿至 350 亿美元之间。
这是「是」这一结果的最新价格。交易者以这个美元比例购买合约,若事件发生,合约支付 1 美元,因此价格可以看作市场对概率的估计。
市场按以下规则结算。Polymarket 使用 UMA 乐观预言机:任何人都可以提出结果,并在质疑期内提出异议。
可以,在 Polymarket 可用的地区。你连接自己的钱包;下注直接进入 Polymarket,资金从不经过 COINMAG。 每笔下注会加收 1% 的 COINMAG 费用。
Anthony Pompliano 写道,Anthropic 的拟议估值在过去一个月可能下降约一半。
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