澳大利亚四大银行因技术故障出现大范围停机
Downdetector 报告称西太平洋银行、圣乔治银行、联邦银行、澳洲国民银行和澳新银行均出现服务中断,西太平洋银行确认技术问题影响了应用、网银和 PayID。

数据:Polymarket,每分钟更新。 · 2027年1月1日 截止
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
结算来源: agi.safe.ai/
Downdetector 报告称西太平洋银行、圣乔治银行、联邦银行、澳洲国民银行和澳新银行均出现服务中断,西太平洋银行确认技术问题影响了应用、网银和 PayID。
这是「是」这一结果的最新价格。交易者以这个美元比例购买合约,若事件发生,合约支付 1 美元,因此价格可以看作市场对概率的估计。
市场按以下规则结算。Polymarket 使用 UMA 乐观预言机:任何人都可以提出结果,并在质疑期内提出异议。
可以,在 Polymarket 可用的地区。你连接自己的钱包;下注直接进入 Polymarket,资金从不经过 COINMAG。 每笔下注会加收 1% 的 COINMAG 费用。