Hayden Adams:代币化 NVDA 实现精准的周末价格发现
Hayden Adams 表示,Uniswap 上的代币化 NVDA 在黄仁勋事件期间提供了精准的周末价格发现,开盘时仅出现 15 个基点的价差。

数据:Polymarket,每分钟更新。 · 2026年11月15日 截止
This market will resolve according to how much "Ebenezer" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).
This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.
If neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Hayden Adams 表示,Uniswap 上的代币化 NVDA 在黄仁勋事件期间提供了精准的周末价格发现,开盘时仅出现 15 个基点的价差。
这是「是」这一结果的最新价格。交易者以这个美元比例购买合约,若事件发生,合约支付 1 美元,因此价格可以看作市场对概率的估计。
市场按以下规则结算。Polymarket 使用 UMA 乐观预言机:任何人都可以提出结果,并在质疑期内提出异议。
可以,在 Polymarket 可用的地区。你连接自己的钱包;下注直接进入 Polymarket,资金从不经过 COINMAG。 每笔下注会加收 1% 的 COINMAG 费用。