97% 概率24 小时 +1 个百分点
数据：Polymarket，每分钟更新。 · 2026年12月10日 截止
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
美联储工作人员的分析显示，2020 年后油价变化已推高核心通胀，提升了紧缩政策抑制比特币投资者风险偏好的可能性。
娜奥米·约翰逊这是「是」这一结果的最新价格。交易者以这个美元比例购买合约，若事件发生，合约支付 1 美元，因此价格可以看作市场对概率的估计。
市场按以下规则结算。Polymarket 使用 UMA 乐观预言机：任何人都可以提出结果，并在质疑期内提出异议。
可以，在 Polymarket 可用的地区。你连接自己的钱包；下注直接进入 Polymarket，资金从不经过 COINMAG。 每笔下注会加收 1% 的 COINMAG 费用。
