▲ 看涨上次 $BTC OI 在这个水平时，我们的冲高是以空头挤压的形式出现的，几天内把价格从62k推到80k。 我的赌注是这次他们会再次这样操作。 几天内从72k到90k的空头挤压。
来自交易者和分析师的加密交易形态、图表和行情判断。比特币、以太坊和山寨币，看涨与看跌。不构成财务建议。
▲ 看涨上次 $BTC OI 在这个水平时，我们的冲高是以空头挤压的形式出现的，几天内把价格从62k推到80k。 我的赌注是这次他们会再次这样操作。 几天内从72k到90k的空头挤压。
▲ 看涨至少 $BTC 安全，免受丑闻导致的抛售。
$BTC 连续完成了5根红色周线蜡烛。这是过去十年中仅第三次出现这种情况。 当前的蜡烛几乎是平的，所以我们得看看它如何收盘。 另外两次出现5根以上红线的是今年年初的2026年，以及2022年一次出现了连续9周红线的情况。 这两种情况在结束连击后结果截然不同，样本量太小，无法得出有意义的统计结论。
▲ 看涨在幕后，我们看到整个下跌过程中的持仓量（OI）显著且持续累积。资金费率保持相对中性。这意味着在这波下跌中，多空方向的持仓都在增加。 此外，永续合约CVD即将创出新低，而价格却远高于上一次CVD处于该水平时的价格——换句话说，市场卖压很大，但价格并不像以前那样容易下跌。 高投入 → 结果平平 = 这不是空头想看到的。 未来几天/几周的重点仍然是更大的上行走势，而非下跌。
比特币最大的清算集群位于约 $60k 附近。 这些是接近底部开仓的多头，价格自八月大涨后就未测试过它们的入场位。 耐心的买家常在强制平仓中发现机会，$60k 的扫荡将产生大量机会。
The odds for ~$73k (black) acting as a durable support aren't very high $BTC
$BTC - Update Relief wave then final dump is exactly what the doctor ordered. No rushing into positions legends.
Bitcoin has been grinding down and stablecoin supply is shrinking fast; the fastest contraction since June 2022. Our latest Week On-chain report contains eight more analyses, including cost basis, ETF flows, wallet accumulation and much more.
Bitcoin analyst sentiment turns increasingly bearish. CryptoQuant's Analyst Consensus Index dropped from -1.0σ to -1.8σ in just 7 days, while BTC fell toward $73K. ETF outflows, inflation concerns, and weakness in the Nasdaq are weighing on market sentiment. 👉️️️️️️ Live chart. @cryptoquant_official
▼ 看跌$BTC and $ETH are on a massive ETF outflow streak. BTC has seen -$2B in outflows in the past 7 trading days alone. ETH has also lost about -$1B the past 2 weeks. Big outflows at local highs/lows can be a sign of absorption or a local reversal area but only if you actually see price stall. As long as price keeps bleeding as the outflows keep going that just means the selling is adding onto the downside momentum. When price stalls and outflows keep going, that's when you should be watching closely.
Is Bitcoin’s Risk-Reward Improving as the Rebound Weakens? “A sustained break below $73,000 followed by a failed retest from below would strengthen the case for bear-market continuation.” – Read More By MorenoDV_ | @cryptoquant_official
I've got my eyes on this interesting wick that we have on #Bitcoin. Yes, the chart looks absolutely horrific, and bears are in euphoria. Rightfully so. However, in a bull market, you'll be required to go through multiple corrections. This is one of them. In 2023/2024, we've seen multiple versions of this, and in the first breakout, we've seen a range low sweep take place. I don't think that this is much different from that, actually. Sure, I've got my bids placed on lower levels in order to accumulate some Bitcoin (wow, are you buying Bitcoin?). If we want to get bullish again, I clearly want to see $75,000 being reclaimed for support and then, things can move fast. This happened in the previous correction and I won't be surprised we'll see a fast move taking place when the markets turn again.
▲ 看涨Crypto twitter has collectively lost it's mind as $BTC trades *checks notes* less than 3% below the range lows that we've been watching. Those untapped lower highs are not going to magically disappear and with this structure it makes zero sense to be positioning for downside here (unless you're already positioned from higher up or are using a very tight stop). Was vocally bearish at high 80k's when most weren't, and now for me personally focus is on the next move higher, not whatever little downside bears are able to squeeze out of panic sellers at these levels.
There's a good chance $MSTR is included on the list of MSCI removals published tomorrow, which will go into effect at the end of this month. My take: Usually when something is fairly predictable, the news is already priced in. MSCI finalized its new index eligibility rules on October 15th. The rules now exclude non-operating companies from its indexes. #Bitcoin has steadily bled off since then. Why? If MSTR is removed from MSCI indexes, JPMorgan estimated it could force ~$2.8 billion of selling from MSCI tracking funds. Strategy is the largest public holder of BTC by a wide margin. This obviously brings back the question from this summer of whether this could put Strategy in a position where they're short on cash and forced to sell BTC to cover obligations, since MSTR is their main source of raising funds. Where I believed that was possible this summer, I don't believe it's very likely at all anymore. This summer we were still debating whether or not Strategy would stay true
New lows for Bitcoin, inching closer to the -17% pullback mark, with no sell-side capitulation in sight just yet $BTC
Fairly good response after a hot CPI for #Bitcoin. No change in the pattern at all; it's still downtrending, and I want to see a price level reclaimed as support to become bullish. The good part, though, is that the markets are waking up for #altcoins, meaning that we're seeing a disconnect between the two and very likely we're seeing a strong surge of those altcoins when Bitcoin finally hits bottom.
"Bitcoin Pre-Halving retraces were much shallower, just over -20% each time Early-stage Bull Markets offer shallow pullbacks but those pullbacks are great opportunities for the long-run" Bitcoin is currently down -16% $BTC
$BTC - Update Still holding, but very wicky. Good time to stay out for now of positions.
▲ 看涨$SOL Has been incredibly weak for the past few months. Underperforming $BTC & $ETH by a good margin. But we've finally arrived at a decent high timeframe support level. I am very curious to see the reaction around this point. On the downside, $82 should hold for the bulls. If we see a bounce or squeeze then that $98 horizontal which turned into resistance would be up. This sold off -33% in 45 days without any proper bounce or short covering. So I do think once that gets started we can see a decent bounce. Just needs to hold this area first or mid $70s would be next.
ETF investors are selling $BTC again. US spot ETFs saw $696M of net outflows on Friday, the largest single day since January. Only two days in the past year saw larger outflows, and both came before price fell further. A return to steady inflows would ease that pressure.
