Setup, biểu đồ và nhận định thị trường crypto từ trader và chuyên gia phân tích. Bitcoin, Ethereum và altcoin, tăng và giảm. Không phải lời khuyên tài chính.
Lần trước OI của $BTC ở mức này, đợt tăng của chúng tôi đến dạng short squeeze đã đẩy giá từ 62k lên 80k trong vài ngày. Cược của tôi là họ sẽ lại làm lại lần này. Short squeeze từ 72k lên 90k trong vài ngày.
Ít nhất $BTC vẫn an toàn trước các đợt bán tháo do scandal.
$BTC Đã kết thúc 5 nến tuần đỏ liên tiếp. Đây chỉ là lần thứ 3 trong thập kỷ qua xảy ra như vậy. Nến hiện tại khá phẳng nên chúng ta sẽ phải xem nó đóng như thế nào. Hai lần còn lại chúng ta thấy 5+ là vào đầu năm nay năm 2026 và một lần vào năm 2022 khi chúng ta thấy 9 tuần đỏ liên tiếp. Cả hai trường hợp đều cho kết quả rất khác nhau sau khi chuỗi kết thúc, mẫu quá nhỏ để có thống kê có ý nghĩa.
Phía sau, chúng ta thấy OI tích lũy đáng kể và ổn định trên toàn bộ đợt giảm này. Funding vẫn tương đối trung tính. Điều này ngụ ý có sự tích lũy cả vị thế long và short theo hướng trên đợt giảm này. Thêm vào đó, CVD perp sắp chạm mức thấp mới, trong khi giá cao hơn rất nhiều so với lần cuối CVD perp ở mức này — nói cách khác, có rất nhiều áp lực bán trên thị trường nhưng giá không giảm dễ dàng như trước. Nỗ lực lớn → kết quả không ấn tượng = không phải điều gấu muốn thấy. Tiếp tục tập trung vào một đợt di chuyển lên lớn hơn thay vì xuống trong những ngày/tuần tới.
Cụm thanh khoản lớn nhất của Bitcoin nằm gần $60k. Đây là các lệnh mua mở gần đáy, và giá chưa kiểm tra các mức vào của chúng kể từ khi tăng mạnh vào tháng 8. Những người mua kiên nhẫn thường tìm cơ hội trong việc bán ép buộc, và một đợt sweep $60k sẽ tạo ra rất nhiều cơ hội.
The odds for ~$73k (black) acting as a durable support aren't very high $BTC
$BTC - Update Relief wave then final dump is exactly what the doctor ordered. No rushing into positions legends.
Bitcoin has been grinding down and stablecoin supply is shrinking fast; the fastest contraction since June 2022. Our latest Week On-chain report contains eight more analyses, including cost basis, ETF flows, wallet accumulation and much more.
Bitcoin analyst sentiment turns increasingly bearish. CryptoQuant's Analyst Consensus Index dropped from -1.0σ to -1.8σ in just 7 days, while BTC fell toward $73K. ETF outflows, inflation concerns, and weakness in the Nasdaq are weighing on market sentiment. 👉️️️️️️ Live chart. @cryptoquant_official
$BTC and $ETH are on a massive ETF outflow streak. BTC has seen -$2B in outflows in the past 7 trading days alone. ETH has also lost about -$1B the past 2 weeks. Big outflows at local highs/lows can be a sign of absorption or a local reversal area but only if you actually see price stall. As long as price keeps bleeding as the outflows keep going that just means the selling is adding onto the downside momentum. When price stalls and outflows keep going, that's when you should be watching closely.
Is Bitcoin’s Risk-Reward Improving as the Rebound Weakens? “A sustained break below $73,000 followed by a failed retest from below would strengthen the case for bear-market continuation.” – Read More By MorenoDV_ | @cryptoquant_official
I've got my eyes on this interesting wick that we have on #Bitcoin. Yes, the chart looks absolutely horrific, and bears are in euphoria. Rightfully so. However, in a bull market, you'll be required to go through multiple corrections. This is one of them. In 2023/2024, we've seen multiple versions of this, and in the first breakout, we've seen a range low sweep take place. I don't think that this is much different from that, actually. Sure, I've got my bids placed on lower levels in order to accumulate some Bitcoin (wow, are you buying Bitcoin?). If we want to get bullish again, I clearly want to see $75,000 being reclaimed for support and then, things can move fast. This happened in the previous correction and I won't be surprised we'll see a fast move taking place when the markets turn again.
Crypto twitter has collectively lost it's mind as $BTC trades *checks notes* less than 3% below the range lows that we've been watching. Those untapped lower highs are not going to magically disappear and with this structure it makes zero sense to be positioning for downside here (unless you're already positioned from higher up or are using a very tight stop). Was vocally bearish at high 80k's when most weren't, and now for me personally focus is on the next move higher, not whatever little downside bears are able to squeeze out of panic sellers at these levels.
There's a good chance $MSTR is included on the list of MSCI removals published tomorrow, which will go into effect at the end of this month. My take: Usually when something is fairly predictable, the news is already priced in. MSCI finalized its new index eligibility rules on October 15th. The rules now exclude non-operating companies from its indexes. #Bitcoin has steadily bled off since then. Why? If MSTR is removed from MSCI indexes, JPMorgan estimated it could force ~$2.8 billion of selling from MSCI tracking funds. Strategy is the largest public holder of BTC by a wide margin. This obviously brings back the question from this summer of whether this could put Strategy in a position where they're short on cash and forced to sell BTC to cover obligations, since MSTR is their main source of raising funds. Where I believed that was possible this summer, I don't believe it's very likely at all anymore. This summer we were still debating whether or not Strategy would stay true
New lows for Bitcoin, inching closer to the -17% pullback mark, with no sell-side capitulation in sight just yet $BTC
Fairly good response after a hot CPI for #Bitcoin. No change in the pattern at all; it's still downtrending, and I want to see a price level reclaimed as support to become bullish. The good part, though, is that the markets are waking up for #altcoins, meaning that we're seeing a disconnect between the two and very likely we're seeing a strong surge of those altcoins when Bitcoin finally hits bottom.
"Bitcoin Pre-Halving retraces were much shallower, just over -20% each time Early-stage Bull Markets offer shallow pullbacks but those pullbacks are great opportunities for the long-run" Bitcoin is currently down -16% $BTC
$BTC - Update Still holding, but very wicky. Good time to stay out for now of positions.
$SOL Has been incredibly weak for the past few months. Underperforming $BTC & $ETH by a good margin. But we've finally arrived at a decent high timeframe support level. I am very curious to see the reaction around this point. On the downside, $82 should hold for the bulls. If we see a bounce or squeeze then that $98 horizontal which turned into resistance would be up. This sold off -33% in 45 days without any proper bounce or short covering. So I do think once that gets started we can see a decent bounce. Just needs to hold this area first or mid $70s would be next.
ETF investors are selling $BTC again. US spot ETFs saw $696M of net outflows on Friday, the largest single day since January. Only two days in the past year saw larger outflows, and both came before price fell further. A return to steady inflows would ease that pressure.
