4% chance
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jun 5, 2027
This market asks whether Zcash's Orchard pool vulnerability publicized June 4 is confirmed to have been exploited on Zcash mainnet before it was fixed.
This market resolves "Yes" if Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL) explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that the June 4 Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability was exploited on mainnet before the fix was activated by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Explicit confirmation of any of the following will qualify: - The Orchard pool bug was exploited on Zcash mainnet - Any extra, unauthorized, invalid, or unbacked Zcash was created in the Orchard pool through this vulnerability - A Zcash network upgrade, migration, audit, turnstile-accounting process (including the proposed new shielded pool with enforced turnstile accounting on exiting Orchard coins), or official investigation reveals excess or invalid Zcash in the Orchard pool that the source attributes to this specific vulnerability.
New or different exploits targeting the Orchard pool after the original vulnerability was fixed are explicitly disqualified and will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on official information from Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying exploit may also resolve this market.
The $6.3 billion Binance breach, attributed to a North‑Korea linked group, eclipsed a series of high‑profile hacks in Cybersecurity Awareness Month, raising concerns over AI‑driven attacks.
Binance has not executed its monthly Luna Classic (LUNC) fee burn for November, a delay linked to the platform’s $6.3 billion hack.
Supermarket fridges in six European countries were remotely set to defrost, risking millions of euros in losses and prompting investigations into possible state‑linked actors.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
Bitmine Immersion Technologies bought 8,573 ETH, bringing its treasury to 6.06 million tokens and highlighting a muted market reaction to the recent Binance theft, according to chairman Tom Lee.
Anthony Pompliano said a $6 billion Binance hack only caused a 5% Bitcoin sell‑off, highlighting market health.
CZ noted that a $6.3 billion hack is the largest in dollar value but pales beside Mt.Gox’s 650,000 BTC loss, stressing market impact and user protection.
