Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart. Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes.
A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.
Analytics firm Santiment reports that bullish commentary on Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP has fallen below parity, suggesting fear may set the stage for a relief rally.
Naomi JohnsonMichael Saylor said Bitcoin is Digital Capital and Strategy converts it into Digital Credit and Equity, adding $STRC and $MSTR on‑chain.
Meanwhile, backed by Sam Altman and major investors, has created a fully licensed insurer that holds capital and pays claims in Bitcoin.
Naomi JohnsonIt is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
A November 10 pricing snapshot shows a $119 per‑BTC cash‑and‑carry premium that is insufficient to cover the estimated $135 financing cost for a 17‑day hedge.
Naomi JohnsonCryptoQuant's Bull Score fell to its lowest possible reading of 0, indicating all ten on‑chain and market signals are bearish amid Bitcoin's dip to around $73,000.
Naomi JohnsonGlassnode’s Nov 11 report shows stablecoin supply shrinking, U.S. spot BTC ETFs seeing net redemptions and a widening Coinbase discount, while larger wallets begin to accumulate.
Naomi Johnson